Headlines:Heads up: US bond market closed for Veterans Day as stocks face a hot CPI hangoverUS futures rally as AI dip buyers return but the bond market has unfinished businessNasdaq Today says: "Fold that short."USD/JPY knocks on the door
Germany October final CPI +2.8% vs +2.8% y/y prelimPrior +3.3%Germany October final HICP +2.8% vs +2.8% y/y prelimPrior +3.3%The final report here pretty much confirms what we already seen with the preliminary report from earlier. The easin
Talk about picking an awkward time to take a day off, eh?Wall Street was left licking its wounds yesterday after the hotter-than-expected US inflation data sent Treasury yields surging and stocks tumbling. And just as traders are trying to
A drop in home lending this sharp gives the RBA more evidence that its five hikes this year are biting. That supports the case for a pause after November’s split decision, and it is a modest headwind for the Australian dollar. Short-dated A
US stock market close: Hot CPI leads to a selloffFed's Bowman: Persistent inflation, firming labor conditions suggest 'work to do'Nvidia falls another 6% and is now testing a key support zoneFed's Schmid: Some concerning trends in prices, u
The US treasury sold $42 billion of 10 year notes:High yield: 5.02%WI level at the time of the auction: 5.01%Tail: +1.0 basis point vs the average of −0.6 basis pointsBid to cover: 2.46X vs the average of 2.60XDirects: 29.0% vs the average
Prior core m/m was +0.3%Core unrounded +0.297%Core CPI y/y not published vs +2.6% priorCore unrounded y/y not published vs +2.564% priorHeadline CPI m/m +0.4% vs +0.3% expected (prior +0.6%)Headline CPI y/y not published vs 3.7% priorUnroun
Articles:Zcash remains stuck in a range as macro headwinds continue to limit the upside. What's next?PrimeXBT Insights: NVIDIA Earnings Preview & Key Price DriversCrude oil loses ground on renewed US-Iran deal hopes, but a concrete breakthr
The ranges of estimates are important in terms of market reaction because when the actual data deviates from the expectations, it creates a surprise effect. Another important input in market's reaction is the distribution of forecasts.In fa
Perhaps one of the more intriguing prospects heading into the US CPI report today is what if inflation cools and the Fed simply decides to shrug it off? Well, that may very well happen.Wall Street is expecting a softer inflation reading for
The market is ready for some late night fireworks from the US CPI report later today but what happens if half the people decide not to show up for the after party to follow? That's something worth keeping in mind as we head towards tomorrow
So, what'd I miss?It's been quite a buzzing start to the week but today, it seems that markets might settle for doing nothing - at least in European morning trade. The US inflation data is looming later and I suspect European traders might
The miss adds a dovish counterweight just as traders look to the Summary of Opinions for confirmation of a December hike. That could temper the yen’s gains from rate expectations in the near term. A strong hawkish tone in the Summary would
With no official annual rate, the monthly core reading carries most of the weight. A 0.3% core print would revive hawkish Fed pricing for December, likely lifting Treasury yields and the dollar and adding pressure to tech stocks still fragi
WI level at the time of the auction: 4.622%High yield: 4.627%Tail: 0.5 basis points vs an average stop-through of 0.1 basis pointBid to cover: 2.53X vs the average of 2.64XDirects: 35.0% vs the average of 25.2%Indirects: 55.5% vs the averag
One-year inflation unchanged at 3%Three-year inflation unchanged at 3.3%Five-year inflation unchanged at 3.9%Expectations of rising unemployment at highest since April 2020Year-haead epxected gas price change moderatesCredit access expectat
Articles:Solana remains skewed to the downside amid negative macro backdrop as US CPI loomsCrude oil is caught between hopes of a US-Iran deal and escalation risks. What's next?Gold futures rallied $81, then gave back $51. Can buyers reclai
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A hot PPI and a soft CPI is a poor mix for China’s growth outlook. It points to margin compression for manufacturers and weak domestic demand, which weighs on sentiment toward Chinese equities and keeps expectations of policy support alive.
A PPI print above 5% alongside sub-1% CPI would reinforce the market’s read that China is importing cost pressure without the demand to pass it on. That is a negative mix for industrial profits and for confidence in the domestic recovery. A
